It seems that every few months there will
be a news headline along the lines of “North Korean rocket test fails.” So why
are the North Koreans so bad with rockets?
Are they technologically inept? Rockets are complicated – it is rocket
science after all – and even outside of North Korea for every hundred or so
rockets we launch a few go boom. But we’ve
gotten a lot better. Back in the
fifties, we were blowing up rockets left and right. You’d think that at some point the Soviets or
Chinese would have given the North Koreans tips on how not to blow up their
rockets. Or is the North Korean
technology on the level we had in the 1950’s, so are they just doing as well as
we did back then?
Is it inept/deranged leadership? As I pointed out, rockets are
complicated. You need to test their
components, separately and combined, dozens even hundreds of times to make sure
they all work. And when parts
unexpectedly fail, or when some unforeseen design problem raises its head, that
causes delays. But when someone comes to
the head of the rocket team saying, “Next Thursday is the anniversary of our
leader losing his virginity. Launch a
rocket by then, or face a firing squad,” they probably launch a rocket, even if
not all the bugs are worked out of it.
Is it sabotage? Now before you all jump to the CIA
conspiracy, it would probably be South Korean Intelligence. Probably with some help from the CIA. Or it could be internal. If the deranged leader keeps talking about
how strong they are with their rockets, and the rockets keep blowing up, that
would show weakness. Possibly sowing the
seeds for a coup.
And a coup might be a smart idea. If the new leader announced that the old was
taken out by some foreign power, one, how would the North Korean people know
otherwise, and two, the rest of the world would assume the CIA did it. Hell, Trump would probably take credit for it
in a tweet in the hope to shore up his poll numbers from a sector of his base
even while the rest of the government was saying, “We had nothing to do with
it.” And during the resulting brouhaha here in America, North Korea would
attack South Korea. With rockets that
worked.
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